Transformative AI and Current Trajectory

Scaling drivers, capability trends, and time-horizon forecasts for thinking about whether AGI-like systems may arrive sooner than institutions expect.

Scaling drivers, capability trends, and time-horizon forecasts.

Jun 2026 · Note

Transformative AI and Current Trajectory cover

Core Readings

METR Time Horizon
Epoch AI Trends Page
Can AI scaling continue through 2030?
The Power of Intelligence